On Thursday’s episode of THE WINDOW Podcast, Matt Russell (@mrussauthentic on X) looks back at Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Panthers and Oilers.
The betting market leading into the game was fascinating as the Oilers took money on the series line, while late money appeared to go the Panthers way for Game 1. This provided a prime example of patience paying off thanks to having a plan that included a target moneyline price on the Oilers.
One major sportsbook offered up an odds boost on the Oilers’ moneyline. Why do we think this happened? And how does a target moneyline price also create a “budget” on what we’re willing to spend on a side when different promotions become available while we’re waiting on the target price to become available during the long lead up to a series.
Matt breaks down each goal, going period-by-period to analyze how the Game 1 metrics compared to what we were expecting in the pre-series preview, and what Sam Bennett’s two goals meant to his Conn Smythe odds compared to what Leon Draisaitl’s did to his.
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Then, Matt reiterates his bet for the NBA Finals. After price-shopping for the best of the number that he could find on the side he prefers, have the odds changed?
Lastly, in a stark reminder of who’s out there trying to consume betting content and betting into the same markets we are, Matt has a tale from the internet, involving this guy:
…Who has become, this guy:
Don’t be this guy! 😂
It’s time to head to THE WINDOW, let’s go!
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